HPV questions have resolved on SciCast

The HPV questions have resolved. There were 52 questions (one for each state) plus six cluster questions and one question about the nation (see trends graph below).

The state questions asked, “What will be the 2013 estimated vaccination coverage of HPV for females aged 13-17 in the state of <State name>.”

State HPV vaccination likely is dependent on the cluster to which the state belongs. We asked forecasters to help to fill in the conditional probability forecasts by using the “Related Forecasts” section after a forecast on the cluster question. Continue reading

SciCast Surveys – Please help our research efforts

Survey response rates typically decline with age, and newer technologies are better for surveying younger people, so we were surprised by the self-reported ages of people who volunteered to take our survey. See the distribution below. The number of users who are 25-32 years and users who are 60-69 years are about equal. We even have a fair number of users 80 and older.

Age

Because only a small portion of users completed the survey, it’s possible that self-selection might have skewed the results, but there’s no good way to tell. Whether or not you think that graph represents our core users, the best way for us to find out is for more people to take the survey. It’s broken into four parts that you can find by logging in and clicking on the “Profile and Settings” tab on your dashboard. See below.

Profile Survey